This
piece originally ran on TheHill.Com
The debate about Social Security
focuses too much on fix and too little on better. At some level, the debate
about Social Security should consider how we can make the system run safer or
serve the country better.
The government must run Social
Security. Social insurance is by its nature antitheoretical with
capitalism because pricing is dictated by the buyer’s earnings rather than
production costs.
The program has however overtime
assumed tasks that go beyond social insurance. One example of that expansion is
the rule which enables a retiree to increase monthly benefits by delaying retirement
claiming (DRC). This function essentially translates current benefits into
an inflation adjusted annuity. It serves an individual’s want, not a
societal need, in which the retiree transforms his benefit into the way that he
wants to collect his benefit. There is nothing social about it.
When DRC was created in 1972, the
annuity market may have forced the government to assume a monopoly role. The
past is the past. Today, the government’s role is completely unnecessary. There
is a robust annuity market today that could support retirees with an expanded
range of choices.
The problem for Americans with this
rule is risk. Annuities in the private sector are priced daily – every
day. The government does not re-price the annuity daily, weekly, monthly,
or even yearly. The last time that the government changed the pricing for
the annuities issued by Social Security was in
1983. Pricing is a tri-decennial event.
A lot has happened over the last 32
years. Interest rates have dropped from 13.75 percent to slightly more
than 2.125 percent. Our life expectancies have risen nearly two years
since that time. Pricing seems unconnected to the cost and benefit of what the
government is selling.
It isn’t a problem that the
government provides incentives or disincentives for work behavior. Social
Security in 1990 paid people to collect benefits early, and today it pays them
to defer their retirement.
The problem is that we do not seem to follow what
incentives are hidden in the system.
Pricing is a legislative process
which is neither perfect nor responsive. In 1972, for example, Congress introduced a flawed benefit adjustment method which triggered benefit
increases large enough to push the system into crisis by 1983. It took
Congress five years to address that flaw.
DRC introduces open-ended risk to
the system because we don’t know how long these annuities will last. For
prospective, the VA is still paying today on pensions from the Civil War.
So any mistake may be around for a very long time.
All of the risk for the system
benefits the few. Who are the few? Today about 10 percent of claims occur
after normal retirement age. The one thing that we know about these
retirees is that they can afford to defer their benefits.
At some point, the debate about Social Security reform must grow beyond simply cutting benefits and raising taxes. These solutions do not fix Social Security. They are the way that we pay for its brokenness.