Wednesday, June 15, 2011

What Washington Is Missing

The biggest challenge for Social Security is the stubbornness of Washington where our leaders are focused on yesterday's news, and promote ideas which are yesterday's answers. The experts believe that the problem is demographic in nature, ie too many retirees for each worker. While demographics may be a problem, it isn't the imminent problem.

The pressing problem is stagnant wages. Social Security depends upon wages from the private sector to pay benefits. While public sector jobs may contribute to the system, these jobs are funded again by private sector wages in the form of income taxes. Over the past 10 years, the problem of demographics has been replaced by a much larger problem of economics: jobs, wages, and productivity.

The following article is important to read. Here is its connection to Social Security. There are fewer jobs to pay into Social Security. The job mix is shifting to lower paying work. Finally, much of the wage growth is in benefits which are not subject to FICA tax. In conclusion : you can't increase wage growth with higher taxes.

http://www.investors.com/NewsAndAnalysis/Article/573982/201106020800/10-Year-Real-Wage-Growth-Worse-Than-During-Depression.aspx is a worthwhile article to see what is happening our labor markets.

Here are some highlights:





  • There has been a net loss of 2.7 million private nonfarm jobs since March 2001. (Government payrolls rose by 1.2 million over that span.)



  • The problem is worse than lost jobs, as job losses have been concentrated in higher-paying goods-producing sector, including construction and manufacturing, which has shed 26% of its workers. Job growth has been in typically lower-paying service industries have kept growing their payrolls: social assistance (41%), nursing homes (21%), leisure and hospitality (10%).



  • Globalization of production has fed a "the substitution of capital for labor" amid a push for productivity and competitiveness.



  • The increase in nonwage compensation — fueled by the growth of tax-free health care spending — which has eroded real wage gains.

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